IMFx: Proyección de la deuda pública: la herramienta de la dinámica de la deuda pública (DDTx)

Course Description

Welcome to our comprehensive course on Public Debt Dynamics! This intermediate-level course, offered by IMFx, delves into the fascinating world of public debt evolution over time. Taught entirely in Spanish, this course is designed to equip you with the knowledge and practical skills to understand, analyze, and project public debt using the Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT), an easy-to-use Excel-based instrument.

What You Will Learn

• Grasp fundamental concepts for projecting public debt
• Perform simple calculations to forecast public debt
• Identify key factors contributing to changes in the public debt-to-GDP ratio
• Calculate fiscal trajectories to achieve user-defined public debt targets
• Develop debt ratio projections for alternative scenarios, including fan charts

Prerequisites

There are no specific prerequisites for this course. However, a basic understanding of economics and finance concepts, as well as familiarity with Excel, would be beneficial.

Course Content

• Fundamentals of public debt dynamics
• Introduction to the Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT)
• Projecting public debt for baseline and alternative scenarios
• Creating fan charts to represent uncertainty in public debt evolution
• Identifying main factors behind public debt variations
• Calculating fiscal adjustments to achieve debt targets
• Practical application of the DDT in real-world scenarios

Who This Course Is For

• Economics and finance students looking to specialize in public finance
• Government officials working in treasury or finance departments
• Policy analysts interested in fiscal sustainability
• Researchers focusing on public debt and economic stability
• Anyone interested in understanding the complexities of public debt management

Real-World Applications

• Assisting governments in developing sustainable debt management strategies
• Advising policymakers on fiscal adjustments needed to meet debt targets
• Conducting research on the impact of various economic scenarios on public debt
• Analyzing the fiscal health of countries for investment or policy purposes
• Contributing to public discussions and policy debates on debt sustainability

Course Structure

• Introduction to public debt dynamics
• Overview of the Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT)
• Projecting baseline debt scenarios
• Creating alternative debt scenarios
• Understanding and interpreting fan charts
• Analyzing factors affecting debt-to-GDP ratio changes
• Calculating necessary fiscal adjustments
• Practical exercises using the DDT
• Case studies and real-world applications